Full Time v Part Time
Apr 21, 2024 20:31:14 GMT
Kenty in Weardale, jjpworthing, and 1 more like this
Post by Keithsson on Apr 21, 2024 20:31:14 GMT
Surely we have to stick to the part time model, in either scenario.
Kenty crunched the numbers and it tells us we were in no way disadvantaged against full time sides this season. If we're NLS next season it's a no brainer to see the three year transition through.
Going up is more tempting, but at the same time comes with added risks...
1) We could well end up throwing good money after bad...
Even throwing all the money we could possibly justify at it is unlikely to change much. God forbid even if we borrowed that figure as well (which we shouldn't and surely wouldn't do) and added it together, it'd STILL make us the smallest budget in the league. So as tempting as 'going for it' would be, keeping as tight a reign on the finances as possible is imperative... plan, financially at least, for relegation.
2) Gates will drop, there is massive folly in setting a break even gate figure as high as 1,300.
- Our average has been boosted this season by several high 1,000's/low 2,000's at crucial top of the table games. We will not be riding high at any point of the season, there will not be any of them.
- The fairweathers will not come in nearly such numbers when the 'weather' isn't as fair.
- If it goes to plan for a big part of the season the North side will be out of action as the new stand is built. Folk won't take kindly to paying £20+ for being squeezed into the East, South and only half the West stands/terraces (the segregated away fans will inevitably get the whole bit from the goal to the away turnstiles at this time). The carnage moving through the narrow passage down the front of the main stand will also put some folk off.
- Yes we will yield more numbers from far bigger away followings. But it surely can't offset all of the above.
3) Expenditure will increase.
Long coach trips, overnight stays, increased security and stewarding, maybe even policing costs.
4) Revenue will drop.
- Ticket prices will rise, they'll have to for all of the above. But in so doing the price point will be too high for many.
- The elephant in the room we've known about for years is the alcohol situation. They'll press the old club house into operation again to be able to pull as many pints into punters hands as possible at half time, but it can't possibly cover the amount of pints bought and consumed currently during the 90 minutes of football.
Summary.
When you go through it all it's clear to see what a perfect storm of huge difficulties Barry and George face if we go up. It's a long list but you have to detail and consider it all to answer the question about going full time... can we really justify adding a full time wage and bonus burden to the finances of the club too? It risks long term stability at the moment.
We should be hard nosed about it. Go up, take our painful medicine, get that stand and new facilities built but otherwise tailor our cloth to as little as possible (lets call it 'the mankini budget' 😄). Barring a miracle we then come back down solvent still but with a massive infrastructure boost with which to mount a more sustainable, and only THEN full time, return to the NL.
Kenty crunched the numbers and it tells us we were in no way disadvantaged against full time sides this season. If we're NLS next season it's a no brainer to see the three year transition through.
Going up is more tempting, but at the same time comes with added risks...
1) We could well end up throwing good money after bad...
Even throwing all the money we could possibly justify at it is unlikely to change much. God forbid even if we borrowed that figure as well (which we shouldn't and surely wouldn't do) and added it together, it'd STILL make us the smallest budget in the league. So as tempting as 'going for it' would be, keeping as tight a reign on the finances as possible is imperative... plan, financially at least, for relegation.
2) Gates will drop, there is massive folly in setting a break even gate figure as high as 1,300.
- Our average has been boosted this season by several high 1,000's/low 2,000's at crucial top of the table games. We will not be riding high at any point of the season, there will not be any of them.
- The fairweathers will not come in nearly such numbers when the 'weather' isn't as fair.
- If it goes to plan for a big part of the season the North side will be out of action as the new stand is built. Folk won't take kindly to paying £20+ for being squeezed into the East, South and only half the West stands/terraces (the segregated away fans will inevitably get the whole bit from the goal to the away turnstiles at this time). The carnage moving through the narrow passage down the front of the main stand will also put some folk off.
- Yes we will yield more numbers from far bigger away followings. But it surely can't offset all of the above.
3) Expenditure will increase.
Long coach trips, overnight stays, increased security and stewarding, maybe even policing costs.
4) Revenue will drop.
- Ticket prices will rise, they'll have to for all of the above. But in so doing the price point will be too high for many.
- The elephant in the room we've known about for years is the alcohol situation. They'll press the old club house into operation again to be able to pull as many pints into punters hands as possible at half time, but it can't possibly cover the amount of pints bought and consumed currently during the 90 minutes of football.
Summary.
When you go through it all it's clear to see what a perfect storm of huge difficulties Barry and George face if we go up. It's a long list but you have to detail and consider it all to answer the question about going full time... can we really justify adding a full time wage and bonus burden to the finances of the club too? It risks long term stability at the moment.
We should be hard nosed about it. Go up, take our painful medicine, get that stand and new facilities built but otherwise tailor our cloth to as little as possible (lets call it 'the mankini budget' 😄). Barring a miracle we then come back down solvent still but with a massive infrastructure boost with which to mount a more sustainable, and only THEN full time, return to the NL.